普通外文研报
European Banks Daily 15 June 2026
研报英文原文证据摘录
European Banks Daily 15 June 2026
15 YE26 target for BAP unchanged
(implying ~13% upside). IFS trades at a more reasonable ~1.7x P/BV, but our US$56 target
implies only ~1% total return. At the sector level, we continue to like BAP and IFS over the long
term, but in the near term we would prefer Chilean or Argentine banks—the first due to strong
profitability metrics helped by inflation, and the second on ROE recovery and improving
sentiment toward the country.
Nubank:False Alert, Rapid Response, and Early Signals of Normalization
Yuri R Fernandes (1-212) 622-3400
Last Friday, a small group of Nubank customers (~20k) received an erroneous notification
stating that the bank had entered “liquidation” (link). The company quickly denied it (link),
mentioning an operational error. The episode nonetheless spread quickly on social media,
pushing Nubank into Brazil’s trending topics on X and driving a short-lived spike in Google
Trends activity - Figure 2 below already shows a normalization. Moreover, a number of Brazilian
financial influencers also weighed in, often highlighting Nubank’s profitability and capital
position, which may have helped stabilize sentiment.
APAC
LIC Housing Finance:Growth guidance optically punchy, but delivery is key; stay Neutral
Gaurav Khandelwal, CFA (91-22) 6157-3575
LICHF’s loan growth guidance of 10-12% and disbursements of Rs780bn (up 17% y/y) is
ambitious. A shift in distribution model through channel partners should improve growth, but is
value dilutive. Our calculations suggest incremental disbursements via partners run at a ~40bps
RoA loss (see Table 3 for calculations). Further, chasing prime mortgage growth in a highly
competitive environment will keep loan yields under pressure. Management’s mixed delivery
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