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LatAm Oil & Gas 2026 Commodities Forum Feedback
研报英文原文证据摘录
LatAm Oil & Gas 2026 Commodities Forum Feedback
J P M O R G A N Latin America Equity Research
10 June 2026
LatAm Oil & Gas
2026 Commodities Forum Feedback
We just hosted our 2026 Commodities Forum at JP Morgan’s office in São Paulo, LatAm Basic Materials
ACand the discussions reinforced our constructive view on the sector. In Brazil E&P, Rodolfo Angele, CFA
the thesis remains anchored in production growth and resilient cash generation: (55-11) 4950-3888
Petrobras stands out for delivering upstream expansion at attractive returns, while rodolfo.r.angele@jpmorgan.com
PRIO’s production ramp should support stronger cash generation, with an Milene Clifford Carvalho
expected remuneration policy as a potential near-term catalyst. In fuel distribution, (55-11) 4950-3475
sector momentum remains solid, and we expect Vibra and Ultra to continue to milene.carvalho@jpmorgan.com
benefit from current market dynamics as they consolidate volume gains, Henrique Cunha, CFA
strengthen balance sheets, and preserve cash-return optionality. In Argentina, the (55 11) 4950 3623
henrique.r.cunha@jpmorgan.com
investment case remains centered on shale growth, with local players sustaining Banco J.P. Morgan S.A.
capex to drive volume growth while maintaining strong project-level economics
over the cycle. See our main takeaways below:
• E&P Brazil: production growth and pricing in focus. Discussions centered
on volume growth and commercial policy, particularly addressable markets
and realized pricing in the context of higher oil prices and export-tax impacts.
(a) At Petrobras, the debate focused on how fuel subventions are being
operationalized, as well as upstream and downstream operating trends into the
next quarters, with maintenance stoppages expected to be more concentrated
in 2H26.
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