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CTS EVENTIM (-) : All good things come to an end
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CTS EVENTIM (-) : All good things come to an end
EQUITIES
INTERNET & MEDIA
CTS EVENTIM PRICE*UNDERPERFORMEUR54.3 TARGET PRICE EUR54FROMNEUTRAL(DOWNSIDE 1%) TARGET -36%PRICE EPS-5%26e EPS-6%27e
All good things come to an end
Dynamics in the German ticketing markets are changing, and we see disruption risk for CTS8 JUNE 2026
Securities Research Report Eventim’s business model driven by a) continued market share losses for high-volume ticket events
Production time: 05:48* (London time)
in Germany; b) rising pressure to engage in additional venue developing activities; and c) ticket
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marketplaces potentially losing importance in the longer term. While shares have weakened (-31%
Christoph Blieffert ytd), we expect a curbed growth profile and the shift to a more asset-heavy business model to furtherBNP Paribas SA
(+49) 69 4272 97321 pressure valuation multiples. We downgrade to U/P with a EUR54 target price (from EUR84).
christoph.blieffert@bnpparibas.com
Ticketing revenues: growth stalling
CTS Eventim is the market leader in ticketing in Germany, its major cash cow, but we expect revenue
growth to slow due to continued market share losses in its home market. 1) Live Nation (not covered)
has already started to sell a rising number of tickets via its Ticketmaster website; 2) AEG (private) is
shifting ticket sales for premium seats from CTS Eventim to its own ticketing website; and 3) we see
a trend of third-party promoters in-sourcing ticketing sales over time.
Operating model in motion: from asset-light to asset-heavy
Live Nation and AEG have been expanding European venue ownership resulting in a shift of ticketing
volumes. While CTS still benefits from beneficial ownership structures in some markets, we expect
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