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Weekly Wingman – Conference Season Highlighted by BA
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Weekly Wingman – Conference Season Highlighted by BA
Equity Research
Multi Company Update — May 26, 2026
Aerospace & Defense
Government Services
Space
Weekly Wingman – Conference Season
Highlighted by BA
Our Call David Strauss
Next week highlighted by BA conference appearance where we expect update to Q2 Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
David.Strauss@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8052
delivery expectations (72 QTD vs. 143 in Q1) along with HEI earnings.
Joshua Korn
Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Up Next: Still more earnings with HEI and ARXS on Weds after close. For HEI, our Q2 EPS Joshua.T.Korn@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-6421
estimate at $1.37 is ahead of consensus at $1.33. We forecast 17% EBIT growth on 14% Ben Tomick
revenue growth (9% organic) and 65bps higher YOY margin. Conference away highlighted Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
by BA/HWM/LMT/NOC. Ben.Tomick@wellsfargo.com | 332-295-4224
Global flight schedules cut further. May schedules now indicate -1% global flight hours
(vs. +1-2% a few weeks ago) while June at +1% (vs. +3%). Middle East (~4% of total global
flights) seen 28% lower YoY in May and 11% in June.
Aero: Despite Q1 results ahead, aero has underperformed by ~9% on average (HEI/HWM
best; WWD/RTX worst). Estimates for 2026-27 have generally moved up on Q1 upside
with ATI/HWM/WWD up most. Overall, we estimate aero aftermarket multiples have
compressed ~15% since Feb high, now trading at 18x EV/EBITDA and 28x PE (2028).
Results: ~20% Q1 aftermarket growth on average, ahead of high teens rate in 2025. GE
lowered its annual departures forecast to flat-LSD from MSD. Mid-teens Q1 OE growth,
higher from 5-10% in 2025, with BA and Airbus maintaining their delivery guidance and
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