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US Daily Data Recap "Waller backs removing easing bias" Wilcox
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US Daily Data Recap "Waller backs removing easing bias" Wilcox
, 2040. Warsh's 4-year term as Chair expires
May 15, 2030. We wrote in last Friday's US Economics Weekly (link here) that Warsh
steps into a difficult environment for guiding policy, as he inherits inflation still above
target, energy prices pushing inflation higher, a labor market not all that strong, and
divergent views on the Committee.
Waller would support removing easing bias from statement
Speaking this morning Governor Waller added his name to the list of participants who
would support removing the easing bias from the statement, but said that raising rates
would be premature at this point. He outlined how the recent data on the labor market
and inflation led him to support holding rates at the April meeting and stated he "would
support removing the "easing bias" language in our policy statement to make it clear
that a rate cut is no more likely in the future than a rate increase."
In prepared remarks, he stated that he was "prepared to be patient in holding policy at
its current restrictive setting as we watch how the conflict evolves and what impact
there is on inflation and inflation expectations." He also went on to state that hikes at
this point would be "premature" but that if inflation expectations were to become
unanchored then he would not hesitate to support an increase in the policy rate.
In the Q&A, he elaborated on what would tip him toward supporting a rate hike, noting Governor Waller will be watching
that market-based measures of inflation expectations and how the inflation data market-based measures of inflation
progress would be key:"If I start seeing these shorter-run, two, three, four years out expectations and how the inflation
expectations, they're right about 2.5% right now.
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