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Executing Well in a Sluggish Environment
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Executing Well in a Sluggish Environment
er of +DD% Y/Y growth. Big-ticket (>$1,000) comps of 52-Week High / Low US$426.75 / US$296.88
Shares Out (mil) 996.0 +0.8% y/y decelerated slightly vs. prior quarters, with mgmt. noting strength in portable
Market Cap. (mil) US$298,610.8
power and patio, but ongoing weakness in big-ticket discretionary projects. And DIY saw Avg Daily Vol (000) 4,189
strength across Spring categories including live goods, outdoor power equipment, patio, Net Cash Per Share US$(52.12)
and grills. Pro comp was positive Y/Y and outperformed DIY (consistent with Q4). Debt to Total Capital 79.4%
Div (ann) US$9.32
• QTD Color. While the last two weeks of April were impacted by unfavorable weather, Div Yield 3.11%
sales growth looks to have bounced back in May, with mgmt. highlighting QTD trends as Fiscal Year End Jan
consistent with performance in Feb, Mar, and early-April. In the first few weeks of May, Price Performance - 1 Year
Spring selling demand seems off to a solid start, with strong customer engagement and
the largest selling weeks in Q2 still ahead. USD 440
• 2H Dynamics. Following a largely as expected Q1, full-year guidance was reiterated, 400
calling for comp growth of ~flat to +2% y/y. Comp improvement in 2H is expected to be 380
driven by a return to normal storm activity (with hurricane headwinds fading after 1H 360
and hurricane tailwinds picking up in 2H). Additionally, as it relates to tariff refunds, while 340
HD has not realized a material amount to date, the refunds could provide a nice offset / 320
upside to what is currently embedded in the guide. 300
Continued on next page... 280
May-25 Jul-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26
RISKS TO ACHIEVEMENT OF PT & RECOMMENDATION Source: Bloomberg
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