普通外文研报
SENTRY myelofibrosis updates at ASCO and top line XPORT-EC-042 (Ph 3, endometrial cancer) due within months; XPOVIO 1Q26 revenues provide slight beat
研报英文原文证据摘录
SENTRY myelofibrosis updates at ASCO and top line XPORT-EC-042 (Ph 3, endometrial cancer) due within months; XPOVIO 1Q26 revenues provide slight beat
May 14, 2026
To support NCCN inclusion the company is set to publish an initial
manuscript of SENTRY results in a peer-reviewed journal in the upcoming
months (mid-2026) and will be presenting fuller SENTRY data at ASCO.
We believe the ASCO messaging will focus on further connecting the
dots between spleen volume reduction, variant allele frequency (VAF)
reductions, and overall survival. Additionally, we think there is the potential
for other post-hoc analyses such as exploring the impacts of total symptom
score (TSS) baselines on absolute improvement in symptoms given that this
was a co-primary that missed statistical significance.
Overall, based on additional commercial work we conducted (note here),
we do believe that NCCN inclusion would likely lead to meaningful use of
selinexor; though from a commercial modelling perspective we remain on
the sidelines until we see initial sales ramp up to better inform forecasts.
Our prediction for XPORT-EC-042 top line: per our proprietary modeling
presented in our prior initial XPORT note, we predict with an 80%+ PoS that
the study will show at least an HR of 0.5-0.6, which well exceeds physician
expectations and hurdle for adoption.
Furthermore, on today’s call management provided additional color that
median follow-up time for the study should likely fall between SIENDO
(prior EC maintenance study) top line and the initial longer-term data
cut follow-up times, which ranged from ~10-29 months; the mid-point of
this falls neatly in our median follow-up time estimates, supporting our
modeling assumptions and our confidence in our initial predictions.
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