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Chemical Distribution: Updating Estimates
研报英文原文证据摘录
Chemical Distribution: Updating Estimates
Idea
May 14, 2026 03:40 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+MChemical Distribution | Europe Annelies Vermeulen
Equity Analyst
Updating Estimates Annelies.Vermeulen@morganstanley.comRemi Grenu +44 20 7425-4367
Remi.Grenu@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0552
We update estimates and highlight key takeaways/debates for Zachariah Al-Qaryooti
the chemical distributors following 1Q26 results, including ResearchZach.Al-Qaryooti@morganstanley.comAssociate +44 20 7425-2400
potential implications from the Middle East conflict. We also
Business Services
refresh our quarterly benchmarking analysis. Remain Equal- Europe
weight Azelis and IMCD, Underweight Brenntag. Industry View Attractive
What’s Changed
Taking stock and key debates. Along with other Distributors in our coverage, the Azelis (AZE.BR) From To
Chemical Distributors have been among the best performers in the sector year to Price Target €10.50 €12.00
date (BNR +23%, IMCD +25%, AZE +13%, vs MSCI Comm & Prof Services -14% and Brenntag SE (BNRGn.DE) From To
MSCI Chems +4%), with material multiple re-rating on no underlying earnings Price Target €46.00 €52.00
changes. Brenntag now trades in line with IMCD at 17x 1y fwd P/E, and above the LT IMCD NV (IMCD.AS) From To
average of 15x. IMCD shares now on 17x 1y fwd P/E (albeit remaining below the LT Price Target €95.00 €105.00
average of 22x) and ~12x EV/EBITDA, while Azelis now trades on 14x 1y fwd P/E
(vs~18x average since IPO) and ~9x EV/EBITDA. With rising energy costs and
expected input cost inflation, these stocks have outperformed and re-rated on their
perceived ability to pass on higher product pricing (as was the case in 2022), and
therefore offer a hedge against inflation. 1Q results were fairly in line across the
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