REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Shanghai Jahwa United (600315.SS): Earnings review: Encouraging online & cosmetics growth but higher selling expenses weigh on Margins; Downgrade to Neutral
Research evidence excerpt
Equity Research
21 August 2026 | 7:30AM HKT
Shanghai Jahwa United (600315.SS)
Earnings review: Encouraging online & cosmetics growth but higher selling expenses
weigh on Margins; Downgrade to Neutral
600315.SS
12m Price Target: Rmb20.00
Price: Rmb18.40
Upside: 8.7%
Shanghai Jahwa reported 2Q26 on Aug 19 after market close;
recurring NP was in-line with higher investment income offsetting a
17% OP miss on higher selling expenses. Overall, sales/NP/recurring
NP grew by 12%/227%/196% yoy in 2Q26.
We downgrade Shanghai Jahwa from Buy to Neutral given limited
upside (+9% on last close) after factoring in 1) -7% earnings revision
in 2027E on a more conservative margin expansion trajectory in the
context of intensifying market competition; we now look for 10%
yoy sales growth/7.4% NPM in 2027E vs 10% growth/7.9% NPM
respectively prior; 2) unchanged valuation methodology at 24x
2027E PE discounted back but rolling over to mid-2027, to reflect
the Company’s efforts on sales growth initiatives and efficiency
improvement. That said, we remain constructive on the Company’s
sales growth profile into 2H26 at 12% yoy and better margin into
2027E after its skincare segment growing faster at 33%/26% yoy in
26E/27E, with implied personal care NPM at mid-teens% and
cosmetics at MSD%. Our new TP is Rmb20 vs Rmb21 prior (-5%
revision).
The company hosted a results briefing on the same day. Key
takeaways include:
1) Mgmt expressed confidence in achieving FY26 operating
targets; 2H26 growth to be supported by new-product ramp-up
and front-loaded investment: Management expects 2H26 growth
to be driven by continued growth of Herborist/Dr. Yu and incubation
of core SKUs. While 1H26 selling expenses rose due to front-loaded
branding, new-product and channel investment, management views
channel expenses as manageable and remains confident in future
profitability improvement.
2) Liushen’s online momentum and new-product pipeline should
underpin growth: Liushen’s online revenue grew c.70% YoY in
1H26/2Q26, with Douyin sales more than doubling. Meanwhile,
NEUTRAL
Valerie Zhou
Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
Key Data _____________________________________
Market cap: Rmb12.4bn / $1.8bn
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