REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
VNET Group: In-line 2Q, stronger 2027/28 outlook on continued order wins
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
18 August 2026
VNET Group
Overweight
VNET, VNET US
Price (17 Aug 26):$7.92
In-line 2Q, stronger 2027/28 outlook on continued order
wins
Price Target (Jun-27):$15.00
VNET reported in-line 2Q26 core earnings and hosted an earnings call on 18 Aug.
Key takeaways were: (1) 2Q26 adj-EBITDA came in largely in line with Street
estimates as stringent opex control offset higher utility costs; (2) management
reiterated 2026 revenue/adj-EBITDA guidance of Rmb11.5–11.8bn / Rmb3.55–
3.75bn, with a faster customer move-in rate in 2H26 implying 13%/2% HoH
growth in revenue/adj-EBITDA at the midpoint; (3) announced new orders of
345MW/2MW from a cloud service wholesale customer and multiple retail
customers, respectively; (4) ~862MW order backlogs with 33%/40% targeted
delivery in 2026/27, and 355MW of reserved capacity from wholesale customers
likely to convert to firm orders over time; (5) a target to deliver 585MW of new
capacity over the next 12 months (2H26–1H27), with ~94% pre-commitment rate;
and (6) secured ~1.4GW of land bank (~65%/35% domestic/overseas mix) for
future customer demand, signaling strong longer-term demand visibility.
Technology - Hardware
Albert Hung AC
(886-2) 2725-9875
J.P. Morgan Securities (Taiwan) Limited/ J.P.
Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited/ J.P.
Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited
Gokul Hariharan AC
(852) 2800-8564
J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited/ J.P.
Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited
Anthony Leng
(886-2) 2725-9240
J.P. Morgan Securities (Taiwan) Limited
J.P. Morgan's views
While the reiterated full-year guidance implies only mild sequential growth in
3Q/4Q26, we see potential upside from a faster customer move-in rate in 2H26,
driven by the ramp-up of domestic chip supply. We also expect robust earnings
momentum over the next two years, supported by multi-year large wholesale
order wins in recent quarters and fast-growing AI inference demand. We
remain OW on VNET on secular earnings growth, a strong wholesale order
pipeline, and an undemanding valuation. Stay OW. Key downside risk is
slower-than-expected domestic AI ASIC chip adoption.
Table 1: VNET Group 2Q26 earnings review
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