REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Cochlear Limited: FY26 First Take: FY26 at top of revised range; FY27 guidance captures consensus despite ongoing GM pressure; Neutral
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
18 August 2026
Cochlear Limited
FY26 First Take: FY26 at top of revised range; FY27
guidance captures consensus despite ongoing GM
pressure; Neutral
Neutral
COH.AX, COH AU
Price (17 Aug 26):A$131.25
Price Target (Jun-27):A$119.40
JPM Key Takeaways: FY26 guidance was (strongly) rebased in April and FY26
came in at the top-end of the ranges; with 2H revenue +6% (vs. guidance +2-6%);
NPAT of $322m came in +4% ahead of the midpoint. The company is taking a
firmer view on costs and has guided to a decline in Opex in FY27. However, our
largest concern with the stock remains the GM profile (71% in FY26 fell -300bps
over the year, missing revised guidance of 72%, and is now -500bps from FY24
levels). For FY27e, COH guides to further contraction, GM 70-71% (vs. consensus
72%) and so guidance for a low single digit revenue profile and modest GM
pressure leaves the company reliant on cost execution to drive earnings growth.
FY27 NPAT guidance for $330-350m captures consensus $339m and should
provide some reassurance today.
Key positives: i) FY26 NPAT $322m at the upper-end of the latest range $290330m (albeit -28% below initial FY26 guidance); ii) +6% revenue growth in
2H26 at top of range +2-6%; iii) Opex guided to decline overall in FY27 with
fixed costs being reduced by $25m to be reinvested into growth initiatives.
Key negatives: i) Gross margin contracted -300bps to 71%, missing guidance
of 72% that had been rebased twice (China dragged by -150bps as flagged in
our preview), GM guided to further contraction in FY27e 70-71% (vs. cons
72%); ii) FY27 revenue guidance of low single digit growth is probably enough
vs. consensus (+3%) but represents a +2% revenue CAGR from FY24-27; iii)
CI growth in Western Europe very soft at -8%; overall guidance for ‘modest’
growth in DMs.
Australia
Australian Healthcare
Chris Cooper, ACA CFA AC
(61 2) 9003-6221
J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited
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