REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
2Q: growth story intact despite post-print weakness
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AbbVie
2Q: growth story intact despite post-print
weakness
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 276.00 USD | Price: 257.41 USD
Strong core execution, Buy thesis unchanged
31 July 2026
AbbVie reported modest revenue and EPS beats versus consensus (~+1%), with
Immunology driving upside while Neuroscience and Oncology were largely in line.
Operational EPS (FY26) increased modestly, though the benefit was largely offset by
higher IPR&D spending. With another quarter of double-digit top-line growth, AbbVie
continues to differentiate itself as one of the fastest-growing large-cap biopharmas,
supported by sustained strength across immunology and neuroscience. The quarter
offered limited pipeline news, but management commentary during the Q&A provided
several notable updates discussed below. We reiterate our Buy rating, as we believe
AbbVie's dominant position in immunology supports a sector-leading growth profile that
is not fully reflected in the stock's valuation.
Equity
CC commentary reinforces LT immunology growth outlook
Management discussion was supportive of AbbVie's immunology growth story. Rinvoq's
opportunity continues to expand, with management raising peak sales expectations for
upcoming label expansions into vitiligo and alopecia indications and highlighting a
potential first-mover advantage in vitiligo. Skyrizi remains highly resilient, with no
evidence of competitive pressure from newly launched oral IL-23 competitor and a
forthcoming subcutaneous induction regimen in Crohn's expected to meaningfully
accelerate adoption. Beyond the commercial portfolio, AbbVie reiterated potential
pathways to accelerate development of its next-gen immunology combos, including
interim analyses to expedite earlier advancement of the higher-dose Skyrizi/integrin
combo into Phase 3 for UC and Crohn's disease. See post-call feedback pg. 3.
Model updates: modest estimate tweaks
We tweak revenue and EPS estimates in our model: 2026E EPSe trimmed by -2% which
reflects EPS dilution from the Apogee deal offsetting slightly higher revenue post-2Q
beat, Our PO of $276 is based on 19.5x of our 2027E EPSe of $14.15 (adjusted for
Skyrizi royalty payout), vs.…
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