REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Global Unichip Corp.: Solid AI/auto pipeline outlook intact with attractive valuation
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Global Unichip Corp.
Solid AI/auto pipeline outlook intact with
attractive valuation
Maintain Rating: BUY | PO: 7,000 TWD | Price: 3,805 TWD
2Q26 sales strength offset mild margin decline
31 July 2026
2Q26 sales were up 21% QoQ, beating BofAe/street +5%/+11% QoQ, mainly driven by
strong NRE revenue (+41% QoQ) as advanced node projects taped out and solid turnkey
(+18% QoQ) with cloud chipsets ramping mainly Google CPU. GMs/OpMs declined by
570/390bps QoQ to 21.5%/12.1% as mix shifted to lower margin NRE milestone. With
sales strength more than offsetting margin drop, EPS came in above at NT$11.61.
Equity
Sustained growth in 2H26 on diverse growth catalysts
We expect GUC’s 3Q26 sales to grow by 11% QoQ, with strength led by turnkey on the
back of Google’s Axion CPU further ramp for more AI applications and healthy demand
for BMC and SSD controller, offsetting lower NRE off a high 1H26 base. As mix shifts
toward lower margin turnkey, 3Q26 GM could edge down to 20.4% but still resilient as
compared with similar high volume AI projects considering the nature of the business.
With growth diversifying across server CPU and AI accelerator projects and better 3nm
wafer supply from TSMC, we now model its sales +71% YoY in '26. (was +63% YoY)
Solid AI/auto pipelines support sales through 2028
GUC’s sales could grow at +74% CAGR from 2026-’28 on sustained and strong outlook
for AI/auto pipelines supported by its well-executed design and capacity securing
capability. We estimate server CPU to contribute around US$700mn in 2026 and
US$1.5bn+ in 2027, and the follow on Google CPU is on track for tape out in 1H27. AI5
is also on track to ramp in 2H27 while TSMC/GUC should lead in the AI6 chipset design.
Firmer flagship project visibility warrant valuation upside
We lift our 2026 EPS from NT$42.61 to NT$47.62 given stronger-then-expected outlook
in both turnkey and NRE, and keep 2027/28 EPS largely unchanged at NT$91.68/168.31.
Maintain Buy with unchanged NT$7,000 PO based on 50x 2H27-1H28 P/E (vs 10-70x
2013-26 range) and current valuation is undemanding backed by 88% earnings CAGR.
Estimates (Dec) (NT$)
Net Income (Adjusted - mn)
EPS
EPS Change (YoY)
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