REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Siemens Energy AG (ENR1n.DE) Model Update
Research evidence excerpt
Flash |
05 Aug 2026 12:44:58 ET │ 11 pages
Siemens Energy AG (ENR1n.DE)
Model Update
CITI'S TAKE
We update our Siemens Energy model post fiscal 3Q26 results. The muted
share price reaction was somewhat surprising when we consider the
strong 3Q26 Gas orders and the positive commentary around next year. A
likely strong start in 1H27E should underpin another >40 GW Gas new unit
year in 2027E; beyond this, we do recognize risk, however, that this fades
from very strong levels – an important motivator of our Neutral rating –
though the P&L effect is likely only to be felt in the early 2030s. While
there was some investor debate on quarterly Gas ASP, the commentary
around better order margins was somewhat reassuring on this point, and
we would not overreact to a single quarterly print. We raise our 2026E EPS
by 6% on better Gas margins, which follows through into a 2% upgrade to
2027E EPS. Our rating and TP are unchanged.
Neutral
Price (05 Aug 26 17:30)
Target price
Expected share price return
Expected dividend yield
Expected total return
Market Cap
Vivek Midha, CFAAC
Siemens Energy AG (EUR)
Year to 30 Sep
2024A
2025A
2026E
2027E
2028E
Sales (€M)
34,465.0
39,077.0
43,841.2
48,998.2
57,926.8
Net Income (€M)
-116.9
1,564.1
4,099.1
5,723.8
7,440.3
Diluted EPS (€)
-0.14
1.77
4.74
6.72
8.87
Diluted EPS (Old) (€)
-0.14
1.77
4.47
6.57
8.84
17.0
PE (x)
-1,113.8
85.2
31.8
22.4
EV/EBITDA (x)
83.6
33.4
18.9
14.0
10.7
DPS (€)
0.00
0.70
2.15
2.95
3.90
na
0.5
1.4
2.0
2.6
Net Div Yield (%)
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