REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Risk Reward Update
Research evidence excerpt
Risk Reward Update
UpdateM
RiskRisk RewardReward– Mahindra- Mahindra& Mahindra (MAHM.NS)& Mahindra (MAHM.NS)
Vision S launch, Shallow Tractor Down-cycle, and Attractive Valuation Keep us OW
PRICE TARGET Rs4,370.00 OVERWEIGHT THESIS
Base case, sum of the parts: ▪M&M's UV portfolio continues to show
Auto business (ICE + EV) - P/E: 26x Mar-28e EPS (in line with MSIL's 10-year median) strong traction, supported by its aspirational
Farm business - P/E: 22x Mar-28e EPS (in line with peer Escorts) positioning. Compact SUV Vision S launch in
Listed subsidiaries on current market cap and 20% holdco discount early 2027 will be the next volume driver.
premium portfolio is helping M&M Rs4,186.06 ▪The
pass on commodity price headwinds and
Consensus Price Target Distribution Rs3,745.00 Rs4,767.00 lead in price hikes among PVs. MS PT
farm business is holding up betterSource: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates ▪The
than we expected.
▪Assuming listed subsidiaries trade at a
20% holdco discount and the tractor
RISK REWARD CHART business commands 20x F28e P/E, the auto
business (ICE +E V) trades at an implied 18x
F28e P/E vs. 23x F28e for Maruti and 24x for INR
Rs5,214.00Rs5,214.00(+53.42%)Rs5,214.00(+53.42%)(+53.42%) HMI.
4800 Consensus Rating Distribution
Rs4,370.00Rs4,370.00(+28.59%)Rs4,370.00(+28.59%)(+28.59%)
97% Overweight
3600 Rs3,398.50Rs3,398.50Rs3,398.50 3% Equal-weight
0% Underweight
2400 Rs2,940.00Rs2,940.00(-13.49%)Rs2,940.00(-13.49%)(-13.49%) MS Rating
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
Risk Reward Themes
Electric Vehicles: Positive
AUG '25 FEB '26 AUG '26 AUG '27 Self-help: Positive
View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes here
Key: Historical Stock Performance Current Stock Price Price Target
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