REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Risk Reward Update
Research evidence excerpt
Risk Reward Update
UpdateM
RiskRisk RewardReward– Peijia Medical- PeijiaLtdMedical(9996.HK) Ltd (9996.HK)
Solid Product Quality, Broadening and Dedicated Pipeline, Commercial Execution
PRICE TARGET HK$8.60 OVERWEIGHT THESIS
We use a discounted cash flow methodology, assuming a WACC of 11.0% and terminal ▪Our OW rating on Peijia reflects its solid
growth of 3.5%. Our model starts from 2026. product quality, broadening and dedicated
pipeline, and consistent commercial HK$9.47
execution
Consensus Price Target Distribution HK$8.13 HK$10.70 has one of the most complete MS PT ▪It
transcatheter heart valve therapeuticSource: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates
portfolios, including next-gen TAVR for AR,
TMVR/r and TTVR, including several
potential blockbusters to be commercialized
RISK REWARD CHART in 2026-28
▪Our near-term estimates reflect high R&D
costs and milestone payments – necessary
HKD to support sustained growth
continue to expect breakeven in 2026 HK$15.00HK$15.00(+273.13%)HK$15.00(+273.13%)(+273.13%) ▪We
16 ▪The stock offers attractive upside on our
bull/base case scenario values, with clinical-
stage pipeline and potential overseas
12 opportunities not fully priced in
HK$8.60HK$8.60(+113.93%)HK$8.60(+113.93%)(+113.93%) Consensus Rating Distribution 8
100%Overweight
0% Equal-weight
4 HK$4.02HK$4.02HK$4.02
0% Underweight
HK$3.60HK$3.60(-10.45%)HK$3.60(-10.45%)(-10.45%) MS Rating
0 Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
AUG '25 FEB '26 AUG '26 AUG '27
Key: Historical Stock Performance Current Stock Price Price Target
Risk Reward Themes
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
Secular Growth: Positive
Self-help: Positive
View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes here
BULL CASE HK$15.00 BASE CASE HK$8.60 BEAR CASE HK$3.60
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