REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV.N): Updating our Model For 2Q26 Results
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31 Jul 2026 10:10:43 ET │ 13 pages
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.
(LYV.N)
Updating our Model For 2Q26 Results
CITI'S TAKE
We are updating our model to reflect 2Q26 results and our latest outlook.
Our estimates move slightly higher, and we are raising our target price to
$212. We maintain our Buy rating.
1Q26 Results — Live Nation reported 2Q26 revenue of $7,667 million, 1% above
consensus. AOI was $817 million, 7% above consensus. The revenue and EBITDA
beats were driven largely by Ticketing.
FY26 Outlook — Live Nation reiterated its outlook for double-digit AOI growth y/y
for the Concerts segment, Sponsorships segment, and the overall firm. For the
Ticketing segment, the firm raised its outlook to MSD growth y/y (LSD previously).
Estimate and TP Changes — Following our update, our estimates move slightly
higher, largely due to increased Ticketmaster estimates. In addition, we are raising
our target price from $181 to $212 as we roll forward our valuation to 17x 2028 EVAOI. We maintain our Buy rating.
n
Buy
Price (30 Jul 26 16:00)
US$183.56
Target price
US$212.00↑
from US$181.00
Expected share price return
15.5%
Expected dividend yield
0.0%
Expected total return
15.5%
Market Cap
US$42,762M
Price Performance
(RIC: LYV.N, BB: LYV US)
Jason B Bazinet AC
EPS (US$)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY
FC Cons
VA Cons
2025A
-0.32A
0.41A
0.73A
-1.07A
-0.24A
2026E
-1.85A
1.05A
1.56E
-0.64E
0.14E
-0.28E
-0.58E
Previous
-1.85A
0.94E
1.97E
-0.38E
0.78E
na
2027E
0.14E
1.14E
1.95E
-0.38E
2.95E
2.30E
1.34E
Previous
0.22E
1.30E
2.26E
-0.45E
3.43E
na
2028E
na
4.55E
3.27E
2.05E
Previous
na
4.20E
na
Aarushi Gupta
Michael Lehman
Source: Company Reports and dataCentral, Citi Research. FC Cons: First Call Consensus. VA Cons: Visible Alpha Consensus.
Click here for Visible Alpha consensus data
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