REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Stronger for Longer; Upgrade to OW
Research evidence excerpt
Stronger for Longer; Upgrade to OW
IdeaM
RiskRisk RewardReward– SK Innovation- SK InnovationCo Ltd (096770.KS)Co Ltd (096770.KS)
Stronger for Longer - OW
PRICE TARGET W150,000 OVERWEIGHT THESIS
back toward traditional energyBase case, sum of the parts. ▪Pivot
Refining, Chem, E&P, SK E&S. Lubricants: 2027e EV/EBITDA multiples of 6.0x for refining, business: SKI is showing signs of reallocating
4x for chem, 5x for E&P, 8x for SK E&S, and 8x for lubricants. These are set with reference focus toward its energy-related businesses,
to global peers' range. particularly refining and LNG businesses,
EV Batteries: Implied value of W3.6trn - 16x 2027e EV/EBITDA, in line with its domestic which are currently benefiting from a more
peers. favorable market backdrop.
IE Technology: Implied value of W0.2trn - 61% stake value at current market cap with 70% ▪Battery-related risks largely priced in:
holdco discount. Structural challenges in the EV battery
business remain, including weak utilization W147,250
and margin pressure. However, we believe
Consensus Price Target Distribution W80,000.00 W200,000.00 these risks, both operational and balance MS PT
sheet-related, are now well flagged.Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates for longer refining margin: ▪Stronger
Growing expectation of refining and
lubricant margins remaining stronger for
RISK REWARD CHART longer support the case for further re-rating.
W190,000W190,000(+62.95%)W190,000(+62.95%)(+62.95%)
KRW Consensus Rating Distribution
64% Overweight
160000 24% Equal-weight
W150,000W150,000(+28.64%)W150,000(+28.64%)(+28.64%)
12% Underweight
MS Rating
120000 W116,600W116,600W116,600
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
Risk Reward Themes
W80,000W80,000(-31.39%)W80,000(-31.39%)(-31.39%)
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