REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Hongfa Technology (600885.SS): 2Q26 in line; Buy on strong order visibility backed by market share gains and pricing power to support
Research evidence excerpt
Hongfa Technology (600885.SS): 2Q26 in line; Buy on strong order visibility backed by market share gains and pricing power to support
Goldman Sachs Hongfa Technology (600885.SS)
Investment thesis, Valuation methodology and Risks
Hongfa is a top relay producer with 27% global market share as of 2025 (No.1). We
expect continued market share gains driven by technology strength in the autos (both
ICE and EV)/home appliance/power/signal sectors, and by rising adoption of
high‑voltage DC architectures in AIDC and ESS applications. We believe the vehicle
electrification mega-trend is poised to power China’s industrial component champions
as content per vehicle rises significantly in EV vs. ICE, while Hongfa’s leading position in
HVDC relays positions it to benefit from the 800V DC transition in both automotive and
power infrastructure. In addition to strong smart meter demand as the global power grid
enters a replacement cycle to incorporate more renewable energy generation and adapt
for rising electricity demand, we now also see AIDC and ESS build‑out adding
incremental relay demand from data centers and backup/storage systems. We view the
stock’s valuation as attractive vs. our China Industrial Tech coverage, with potential
catalysts coming from: (1) strong customer penetration among global EV OEM
customers, (2) fast smart meter order gains against replacement demand, and (3) an
acceleration in AIDC‑related HVDC and general relay orders, as well as ESS‑HVDC
deployments, as global data center and power operators upgrade toward
higher‑efficiency DC and storage‑rich architectures. We are Buy rated.
Price Target Risks and Methodology - Hongfa Technology
Target price: Our 12m target price of Rmb45.5 is based on 2028E P/E of 24x discounted
back to 2027E.
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