REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Hundsun (600570.SS): Refreshing Estimates Post Weak 1H26 Prelim Results; Double-Digit Order Growth Underpins 2H26 Recovery Outlook
Research evidence excerpt
Equity Research
11 August 2026 | 4:20PM HKT
Hundsun (600570.SS)
Refreshing Estimates Post Weak 1H26 Prelim Results; Double-Digit Order Growth
Underpins 2H26 Recovery Outlook
600570.SS
12m Price Target: Rmb32.71
Price: Rmb23.07
Upside: 41.8%
We are updating our forecasts for Hundsun, revising down our
2026-28E core revenue/gross profit/net profit by an average of
-7%/-7%/-5% vs. prior, to incorporates the weaker-than-expected
1H26 preliminary results, with operating revenue/attributable profit
-12%/+1% yoy and -11%/-41% below GSe. This is primarily due to
extended project cycles, which slowed revenue recognition.
Hundsun also announced a new employee equity incentive plan,
setting performance targets for 2026-2028 at a minimum of 10%
growth in attributable profit excluding non-recurring G/L (1H26: 9%
yoy), consistent with previous plans. Despite persistent short-term
pressures, we remain positive on Hundsun, underpinned by
double-digit contract order growth and active capital market. We
anticipate a revenue recovery in 2H26, with investment income
(particularly from Ant Fund Sales) expected to continue supporting
earnings. We maintain our Buy rating.
1H26 Preliminary Results: In 1H26, Hundsun reported operating
revenue of Rmb 2.1bn (-12% yoy/-11% vs GSe) and attributable
profit of Rmb 0.26bn (+1% yoy/-41% vs. GSe). Attributable profit
excluding non-recurring G/L stood at Rmb 0.21bn, growing 9% yoy.
This implies 2Q26 operating revenue of Rmb 1.2bn (-12% yoy/-17%
vs. GSe) and attributable profit of Rmb 0.12bn (-46% yoy/-59% vs.
GSe). Management attributed the revenue decline to extended
project cycles, which consequently slowed the pace of revenue
recognition. However, they emphasized that contract orders
achieved double-digit growth, laying a solid foundation for future
revenue growth. Furthermore, benefiting from a buoyant capital
market, investment income (including investments in Ant Fund
Sales) performed well in 1H26, thereby supporting positive profit
growth.
Equity Incentive Plan: Hundsun also unveiled its 2026 employee
equity incentive plan, continuing its practice of annual equity
incentive grants since 2022. This plan covers 13% of its employees,
BUY
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