REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
2Q26 Earnings: management positive on the consumer but still cautious
Research evidence excerpt
2Q26 Earnings: management positive on the consumer but still cautious
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ABS Weekly
2Q26 Earnings: management positive on
the consumer but still cautious
Mixed trends for spreads but still expect tighter levels 17 July 2026
For the week, spreads were tighter for timeshare ABS, fiber ABS and rental car ABS, Securitized Products Strategy
while spreads were wider for retail auto loan ABS, floorplan ABS, aircraft ABS, United States
equipment ABS, retail auto lease ABS, device payment plan ABS, FFELP ABS, personal
loan ABS, and data center ABS. Spreads were unchanged for remaining sectors. Our Chris Flanagan
outlook for spreads remain unchanged. Specifically, we expect spreads to tighten to FI/MBS/CLO Strategist BofAS
their 24-month minimum before becoming rangebound. Click links for ABS new issue +1 646 855 6119
volume and pricing by deal and ABS Spreads time series. christopher.flanagan@bofa.com
Theresa O'Neill
Learning from earnings ABSBofASStrategist
Citigroup: Management expects a net credit loss rate for U.S. credit card portfolio of +1theresa.oneill@bofa.com646 855 9285
4.0% - 4.5% in 2026 versus 4.3% in 2025. They also expect the allowance in credit Alvin Fung
losses to be a function of macroeconomic environment and business volumes. For 2Q2, ABS Strategist
BofAS
30+ day delinquencies declined YoY and QoQ across USCC and PLCC, while net charge- +1 646 855-9091
offs fell YoY and were mixed QoQ. alvin.fung@bofa.com
JPMorgan Chase: Management revised their expectations for full-year card net
charge-off rate to ~3.2% compared to a previous rate ~3.4% and an actual rate of 3.3% See Exhibit 24 on page 22 for
in 2025. Credit metrics improved for both the auto and credit card portfolios in 2Q26 commonly used acronyms
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