REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
1Q beat led by Energy, partly offset by soft Retail
Research evidence excerpt
1Q beat led by Energy, partly offset by soft Retail
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Reliance Inds
1Q beat led by Energy, partly offset by soft
Retail
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 1,600 INR | Price: 1,329 INR
Healthy 1Q print powered by strong O2C & Oil/Gas 20 July 2026
RIL reported a strong 1Q with EBITDA/PAT ahead of Street as well as BofAe, driven by Equity
the mainstream energy segments. EBIT was 4% above BofAe/7.5% above consensus:
lead by 13% YoY O2C EBIT increase and 10% YoY Oil & Gas EBIT. O2C EBITDA +17%
Key ChangesYoY on stronger transportation-fuel cracks, downstream margins, crude-basket
diversification and favorable ethane economics, partly offset by SAED re-introduction on (Rs) Previous Current
diesel/MS/ATF. Oil & Gas EBITDA broadly flat YoY as higher KG-D6/CBM realizations and Price Obj. 1,650.00 1,600.00
forex offset a 10% YoY drop in volumes (planned turnaround, LPG diversion). 2027E EPS 63.84 63.47
2028E EPS 77.31 70.04
Retail was a soft spot: 7% YoY reported top-line growth/11.6% YoY ex RCPL de-merger.
2029E EPS NA 82.41
EBITDA margins were 60bps YoY lower at 6.6%. FMCG segment continues to do well
2027E EBITDA (m) 2,078,852.5 2,003,919.5
and has doubled top-line scale YoY, along with achieving EBITDA break-even. Mgmt in
2028E EBITDA (m) 2,361,692.9 2,215,247.7
the analyst meet highlighted planned scale-up of digital commerce with guard rails and
2029E EBITDA (m) NA 2,447,109.2
internal targets around CM etc. Investments in JioMart will continue towards expansion
of dark stores atleast for 9-12 months. Despite that, mgmt remains reasonably
Sachin Salgaonkar >>
confident of doubling absolute EBITDA over next 3 years for Retail business. Post 1Q, Research Analyst
we cut our EPS estimates to factor softer retail/higher than expected interest expense. BofAS India
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