REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Quick Take: Paytm - the operating leverage thesis continues to play out
Research evidence excerpt
Quick Take: Paytm - the operating leverage thesis continues to play out
21 July 2026
Pranav Gundlapalle
+91 226 842 1407
India Financials pranav.gundlapalle@bernsteinsg.com
One97 Communications Ltd Ishan Mittal
+91 226 842 1442
Rating ishan.mittal@bernsteinsg.com
Outperform Anirudh Gupta
Price Target +91 226 842 1456
anirudh.gupta@bernsteinsg.com
PAYTM.IN 1,500.00 INR
Quick Take: Paytm - the operating leverage thesis continues to
play out
Paytm reported a strong 1Q27 that supports our investment thesis of non-linear profit growth
Close Date 20 Jul 2026
driven by healthy revenue growth and significant operating leverage. Revenue grew 28% YoY
PAYTM.IN Close Price (INR) 1,347.50
while indirect expenses rose just 6% YoY, driving EBITDA growth of 182% YoY (nearly 10x
Price Target (INR) 1,500.00
YoY on a comparable basis excluding PIDF incentives) and EPS growth of ~80% YoY. The key
Upside/(Downside) 11%
positives were strong payment volume (GMV) growth, continued tight cost control, and robust
52-Week Range 1,407.00/930.60
growth in financial services. The key misses were stagnant marketing revenue and softer
ASIAX 1,866.01
payment monetisation, with net payment revenue growth lagging GMV growth.
FYE Mar
The hits Div Yield NA
Market Cap (INR) (M) 863,322
- Cost discipline continues. Indirect expenses grew just 6% YoY. The improved cost EV (INR) (M) 718,802
disclosures, including a 3% YoY decline in platform-building costs despite continued Performance YTD 1M 6M 12M
investments in AI and product development, provide greater confidence in the sustainability Absolute (%) 3.7 23.6 9.0 32.4
of this trend. ASIAX (%) 14.1 (8.9) 9.5 26.8
Relative (%) (10.4) 32.5 (0.5) 5.6
- Financial services remains the star performer.
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