REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Swiss Re (SREN.HS): 2Q’26 earnings preview
Research evidence excerpt
Swiss Re (SREN.HS): 2Q’26 earnings preview
Equity Research
20 July 2026 | 10:32AM BST
Swiss Re (SRENH.S): 2Q’26 earnings preview
Swiss Re reports its 2Q’26 earnings on August 6th. Overall, our net income estimate is Andrew Baker, CFA
+44(20)7051-2074 |
14% below company-collected consensus, primarily driven by a higher opportunistic andrew.x.baker@gs.com
Goldman Sachs International
reserving assumption in what we expect to be another low nat cat quarter. Our
Vash Gosalia, CFA
84.2% COR is c.3.1ppts less favourable than consensus, underpinned by a lower nat +44(20)7051-0132 |
cat estimate but a higher reserving assumption. Swiss Re will also report its mid-year vash.gosalia@gs.comGoldman Sachs International
renewals. In the January / April 2026 renewals, Swiss Re’s risk-adjusted pricing was Alice Palumbo
-4.3% / -6.3% and overall premium growth was -0.3% / -8.1%. Acknowledging +44(20)7051-2403alice.palumbo@gs.com|
geographic differences, we expect the mid-year renewals to look more like April (-6% Goldman Sachs International
Giridharto -8% risk-adjusted pricing) given a similar nat cat mix (28% in mid-year vs. 23% in Ankitha | +1(332)245-7972
April). Elsewhere, despite the business delivering positive experience variances in ankitha.giridhar@gs.com Goldman Sachs India SPL
1Q’26, we expect experience variances to again be the main focus area in L&H Re.
For Corporate Solutions, we will be looking for further read-across from the US
commercial insurers that report over the next two weeks.
Property & Casualty Reinsurance
Our $4,281mn insurance revenue estimate is c.1% above consensus. To arrive at our
estimate we take the c.$4.1bn reported in 1Q’26 and then assume a c.$0.2bn
positive adjustment for the cedent volume true-up in 1Q’26 numbers (noting that
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