REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
2Q26 Retail Preview: Durable earnings power, with continued upside potential; K-shaped economy winner
Research evidence excerpt
2Q26 Retail Preview: Durable earnings power, with continued upside potential; K-shaped economy winner
Goldman Sachs Americas Real Estate: REITs
Exhibit 1: Given minimal retailer bankruptcies since 1Q26 earnings, continued low supply, and various property
acquisitions, we expect 2Q earnings could see a number of guidance increases for retail REITs
Company-specific items to focus on for 2Q26 earnings
Expect Midpoint In addition to recurring questions about the leasing pipeline (retenanting & renewals), pricing power, watch list, and
Company Ticker Guidance Increase? impacts of the consumer, we expect the following are company-specific items to watch during 2Q26 earnings:
SS NOI FFO
Simon SPG No Yes TRG synergies, tenant mix and remerchandising, uses of cash (re/development pipeline, buybacks, dividend, debt reduction, TIs
and capex), sales productivity, the refinancing outlook, OPI performance.
Tanger SKT Yes Yes The Levis Commons acquisition, the acquisition pipeline, incremental traffic from the World Cup, temp tenant levels/findings, sales
productivity, hybrid & full-price strategy, early prepayment of the KC mortgage
Macerich MAC N/A N/A Realizing the SNO pipeline, recent equity issuance, the Annapolis Mall acquisition, acquisition pipeline, and TIs/capex spend in the
SS and recent acquisitions.
Brixmor BRX Yes Yes Realizing the SNO pipeline, sustainability & upside to new & renewal lease spreads, the four 2Q acquisitions (including one with
OP units), funding of acquisitions, acquisition pipeline.
Phillips PECO Yes Yes Private vs public company asset pricing, Everyday Retail progress, occupancy cost ratio, occupancy upside, completed
Edison acquisitions and the pipeline, redevelopment activity, AFFO vs FFO growth.
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