REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Risk Reward Update
Research evidence excerpt
Risk Reward Update
UpdateM
RiskRisk RewardReward– Wangsu- WangsuScience & TechnologyScience(300017.SZ)& Technology (300017.SZ)
Gross margin continues to deteriorate; Valuation unjustified.
PRICE TARGET Rmb7.30 UNDERWEIGHT THESIS
We find EV/EBITDA is the most appropriate methodology and apply an 10x one-year forward ▪We believe Wangsu is once again facing
EV/EBITDA, in line with the five-year average NTM EV/EBITDA for Akamai (US-based comp, growth and margin challenges in the CDN
6x EV/EBITDA). We cite Wangsu's improving profitability and recovering revenue run-rate as market after a short recovery.
valuation support. ▪We rate the stock UW, as valuation is
much higher than global peers after China’s Rmb16.08
beta rally.
Consensus Price Target Distribution Rmb6.70 Rmb22.20
MS PT
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates Consensus Rating Distribution
75% Overweight
RISK REWARD CHART 0% Equal-weight
25% Underweight
MS Rating
CNY
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
Rmb19.60Rmb19.60(+48.15%)Rmb19.60(+48.15%)(+48.15%)
20 Risk Reward Themes
Contrarian: Negative
15 Pricing Power: Positive
Rmb13.23Rmb13.23Rmb13.23 View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes here
Rmb7.30Rmb7.30(-44.82%)Rmb7.30(-44.82%)(-44.82%)
Rmb5.80Rmb5.80(-56.16%)Rmb5.80(-56.16%)(-56.16%)
JUL '25 JAN '26 JUL '26 JUL '27
Key: Historical Stock Performance Current Stock Price Price Target
BULL CASE Rmb19.60 BASE CASE Rmb7.30 BEAR CASE Rmb5.80
40x 2026e bull-case EV/EBITDA 10x 2026e base-case EV/EBITDA 6x 2026e bear-case EV/EBITDA
Better competition dynamics in the CDN Stable operations: Intensifying competition in the CDN
business: business:
CDN revenue growth: 2/6/6% in 2026-28E
CDN revenue growth: 15/12/10% in 2026-28E CDN revenue growth: 0% in 2026-28E
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