REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Aker BP (AKRBP.OL): Feedback from CFO Roadshow
Research evidence excerpt
Aker BP (AKRBP.OL): Feedback from CFO Roadshow
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20 Jul 2026 00:00:59 ET │ 15 pages
Aker BP (AKRBP.OL)
Feedback from CFO Roadshow
CITI'S TAKE
Our roadshow with Aker BP CFO David Tønne July 16th left us more
comfortable on the capex front and clearer on management’s latest thinking
on the next phase of the asset portfolio. The latest increase is largely the Neutral
cost of protecting summer 2027 start-up, with more man-hours required Price (17 Jul 26 16:00) NKr327.80
across the remaining yard and offshore work rather than a material
Target price NKr315.00expansion in scope. Beyond the current build-out, the discussion pointed
to a broader set of options across tiebacks, exploration, asset swaps and Expected share price return -3.9%
selective ownership changes, with M&A judged on value rather than Expected dividend yield 8.0%
volume. On shareholder returns, our sense is that management and long-
Expected total return 4.1%term shareholders prefer stability through the final heavy execution year.
Market Cap NKr207,177M
Capex Uplift — The CFO framed the increase as the cost of protecting the 2027 US$21,462M
start-up schedule, with lower yard productivity requiring more man-hours rather
than a material expansion in scope. With both developments more than two-thirds
complete, the revised range is built around a more developed view of the remaining
yard, sailaway and offshore hook-up work, including c.10% contingency. Our Price Performance
discussions also gave us a better sense of where the schedule pressure point still
(RIC: AKRBP.OL, BB: AKRBP NO)sits, how much flexibility exists, and what would need to happen for costs to move
beyond the current range.
Beyond 2030s — Management is already planning the next portfolio wave while
current project capex remains high.
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