REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Structural fears, crowded shorts and cheap valuations
Research evidence excerpt
Structural fears, crowded shorts and cheap valuations
Exhibit 30: Mercedes got hit by some de-rating but the multiple is not Exhibit 31: Porsche still gets lot of benefit of the doubts by investors;
yet at trough despite a low share price; earnings consensus came down the valuation says earnings will grow again mid-term
Mercedes 12m forward PE since Jan-22 Porsche 12m forward PE since Jan-22
10.0x 26.0x
P/E +1 std dev -1 std dev Average P/E +1 std dev -1 std dev Average
24.0x 9.0x
22.0x
8.0x 20.0x
7.0x 18.0x
16.0x 6.0x
14.0x
5.0x 12.0x
4.0x 10.0x
24242424242424242424242425252525252525252525252526262626262626 24242424242424242424242425252525252525252525252526262626262626
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
Source: BofA Global Research, FactSet Source: BofA Global Research, FactSet
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
Exhibit 32: Ferrari’s current PE looks high but is even fairly small in
historic comparison
Ferrari 12m forward PE since Jan-22
60X
P/E +1 std dev -1 std dev Average
55X
50X
45X
40X
35X
30X
25X
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
Source: BofA Global Research, FactSet
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
Suppliers 12m forward PE
Exhibit 33: Michelin: Despite the short interest increased, Michelin re- Exhibit 34: Continental: the Auomovio spin-off and Contitech disposal
rated quite a bit since April led to a strong re-rating over the last 2 years
Michelin 12m forward PE since Jan-22 Continental 12m forward PE since Jan-22
14.0x 14.0x
P/E +1 std dev -1 std dev Average 13.0x P/E +1 std dev -1 std dev Average 13.0x
12.0x 12.0x
11.0x 11.0x
10.0x 10.0x 9.0x
9.0x 8.0x
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