REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
A lot of bang for the buzz
Research evidence excerpt
A lot of bang for the buzz
Accessible version
Buzzi
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 55.00 EUR | Price: 44.23 EUR
Discount too wide for ROCE at c.10% 15 July 2026
Buzzi is trading at a material discount (40%) to large cement peers (c.6x 2027E Equity
EV/EBITDA vs peers c.9x, and c.9x P/E vs peers at c.15x), which looks hard to justify
given its similar, if not better, one year-forward ROCE of 9.8%. It also has a stronger
Key Changesbalance sheet (the only net cash European cement name we cover). We reiterate Buy
with a new PO of €55/US$32 (from €58/$34; -5% lower on a higher depreciation (EUR) Previous Current
estimate), implying >20% upside. Price Obj. 58.00 55.00
Major markets: soft, but not as bad as priced in 2026E2027E RevRev (m)(m) 4,555.94,741.5 4,527.64,744.2
Macro trends in Buzzi’s key markets have softened, but not as much as the share price 2028E Rev (m) 4,943.7 4,991.3
implies. In the US, we acknowledge high interest rates are putting near-term pressure on 2026E EPS 4.98 4.53
construction. However, Buzzi’s US margin remains structurally high (>35%). Demand in 2027E EPS 5.31 4.87
Texas (c.20% of US sales we estimate) is supported by population growth, infrastructure 2028E EPS 5.65 5.28
and data centre activity. Transition from IIJA to the new regime is making progress. 2026E DPS 0.75 0.73
Germany is still weak but expectations are already low, while the infrastructure package
provides medium-term optionality. Latest print on Germany cement PPI, and Allison Sun >>
construction & civil engineering PMI was not that bad. Research Analyst
MLI (UK)
+44 20 7996 1052Capex: funded by cash, not hope allison.sun@bofa.com
We expect the group to remain net cash positive post annual capex (€500m-€550m in Arnaud Lehmann >>
next three years).
The English excerpt is extracted automatically from the cited source page and may contain layout or recognition errors. It is never batch translated.
Open report viewer