REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Banking on Wealth – Reframing the Singapore Banks Story; DBS to Buy
Research evidence excerpt
Banking on Wealth – Reframing the Singapore Banks Story; DBS to Buy
count for close to 30% of group pre-tax profit over the medium term, reducing OCBC (Buy) 30.0 9% 3.6% 1.9 15.7
earnings dependence on the rate cycle and supporting structurally higher ROEs.
Source: BofA Global research
Well set for double-digit wealth AUM growth BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
We see HSD-to-mid teens wealth AUM growth as sustainable over the medium term
across SG banks. This should be driven by: (1) 5-7% annual net new money inflows; (2) 3- Exhibit 2: PO changes
Summary of changes to PO5% market and NAV appreciation; and (3) continued increases in wallet share and
product penetration. Singapore continues to gain share as Asia's preferred wealth hub, New PO Previous
while DBS, OCBC and UOB are expanding relationship manager headcount, advisory DBS Buy (from U/P) 75.00 55.00
capabilities and regional wealth centers to capture this opportunity. UOB Buy 50.00 40.00
OCBC Buy 30.00 23.00
Source: BofA Global ResearchRaise target prices across the sector
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
We raise target prices across SG banking sector to reflect stronger confidence in wealth
ROE – return on equitymgmt. as a structural earnings driver and greater earnings durability than previously
NIM – net interest marginsappreciated. We raise our PO to S$75 for DBS, S$50 for UOB and S$30 for OCBC, and
Non-II – non-interest incomeincrease our EPS estimates by 3%-3% for DBS and OCBC, and 1% for UOB through
WM – wealth management2028E on avg., reflecting stronger wealth growth assumptions, and higher confidence in
NII – net interest incomesustainable through-cycle profitability. Our target prices imply forward P/B multiples of
CIR – cost to income ratio3.0x for DBS, 2.1x for OCBC and 1.6x for UOB, broadly supported by our medium-term
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