REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Equipment ABS: Positioned to Outperform Despite Mixed Signals
Research evidence excerpt
Equipment ABS: Positioned to Outperform Despite Mixed Signals
bit 2, Exhibit 36.
Equipment ABS credit trends remain mixed, with improving delinquencies in small- and Spreads: Exhibit 7 to Exhibit 9
mid-to-large ticket sectors offset by weaker A&C performance. Recent platform-level
results were negative for A&C and large-ticket ABS, while small- and medium-ticket Click Links to Must Read Reports
performance was mixed. Vintage performance also remains uneven, with 2024 vintages Overview reports
2026 Year Ahead Outlook (ABS), 2Hshowing comparatively higher cumulative losses, particularly in the mid-to-large ticket
2026 Outlook, 1H 2026 Review,sector. We continue to favor small-ticket equipment ABS given its diversified collateral
1Q26 new issue volume, Total andpools and historically resilient performance.
Excess returns, ABS Ratings Actions
Despite headwinds equipment financing remains resilient Market Updates
The equipment financing sector faces several headwinds, including trade policy Consumer credit scorecard
uncertainty, elevated interest rates, and geopolitical risks that could pressure inflation Payment water, Under the hood of
and supply chains. However, these challenges are partially offset by meaningful support auto loan ABS, Auto ABS, Credit
from the OBBBA. Combined with our economists' expectations for continued U.S. and card ABS, Personal loan ABS, Solar
global economic growth, the overall outlook for equipment demand remains constructive ABS, FFELP & private student loan
despite a mixed operating environment. ELFA reported record-pace growth, although ABS, Timeshare ABS,
small business sentiment is pressured by inflation and labor challenges while banks Aircraft ABS, Container ABS, Digital
modestly tighten C&I lending standards.
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