REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
European Beat Factor: Out-of-consensus stocks under BofA Global Research coverage
Research evidence excerpt
European Beat Factor: Out-of-consensus stocks under BofA Global Research coverage
a Laval has the lowest Beat Exhibit 1: Top 10 Beat Factor screen of
Factor score again this month, with our analyst’s 2026 and 2027 EPS estimates 6% and out-of-consensus European stocks
11% below consensus, respectively. Kerry Group is rated Underperform by our analyst, covered by BofA
while 64% of consensus rates the stock a Buy, followed by Underperform-rated UPM at Top 10 Beat Factor stocks
53% and BP at 52%.
Beat
Our analysts remain most positive on tech and industrials Beat Factor Top 10 Factor (100=Most
Our sector analysts’ bottom-up projections imply 17% upside potential in aggregate for BBG Code Name Upbeat)
the European stocks under BofA Global Research coverage over the coming twelve DBK GY Deutsche Bank 100
months, versus 12% upside potential implied by bottom-up consensus estimates. Over STMPA FP STMicroelectronics 99
the coming year, our analysts see the most upside potential relative to consensus for NOKIA FH Nokia 98
ASM NA ASM International 97
tech (35% versus 15%) and industrials (24% versus 13%). BofA analysts expect 18% EPS VACN SW VAT 97
growth for European companies under coverage in 2026, versus consensus expectations MT NA ArcelorMittal 96
of 17%, with financials, industrials and consumer discretionary accounting for most of ANTO LN Antofagasta 95
the difference. ELE SQ Endesa 94
KSP ID Kingspan Group 94
Top 10 outperformed Bottom 10 by 2.5% in last 6 months BNP FP BNP Paribas 93
The Beat Factor Top 10 stocks underperformed the Bottom 10 by 3.7% over the past Source: BofA European Equity Quant Strategy, iQdatabase, BBG, IBES, LSEG Data & Analytics (as of Jul
month, reducing the six-month outperformance to 2.5%. The Top 10 is up 82% relative 13, 2026)
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