REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Adjust estimates modestly on final Dealogic and LAZ AUM disclosure
Research evidence excerpt
Adjust estimates modestly on final Dealogic and LAZ AUM disclosure
Equity Research
13 July 2026 | 7:08PM EDT
AMERICAS INVESTMENT BANKS
We adjust select earnings estimates slightly and price targets for IBanks for: 1) James Yaro
+1(212)902-1913 |
final Dealogic data, with 2Q26 Dealogic completed M&A fees increasing by 3% on james.e.yaro@gs.com
Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
average, DCM revenue by 1%, and ECM fees unchanged; 2) factoring in M&A revenue
Divyam Harlalkanet pull-forward analysis based on Dealogic, which suggests modest changes to +1(332)245-7818 |
Dealogic revenue for certain peers; and 3) LAZ’s June AUM release and other divyam.harlalka@gs.comGoldman Sachs India SPL
disclosures. Matthew Weng
+1(212)902-8484 |
matthew.weng@gs.com
Adjusting IBanking revenue for updated Dealogic data Lokesh Kumar Sangewar
+1(332)245-7846 |
lokesh.sangewar@gs.com
Goldman Sachs India SPL
We adjust investment banking revenue for updated 2Q26 Dealogic data,
including by factoring in the net pull-forward of revenue. Historically, Dealogic
data for the current quarter are updated up to two weeks after the quarter ends. We
observe 3% higher completed 2Q26 M&A revenue on average, 1% higher DCM, and
unchanged ECM, vs. the data as of 07/02.
We include net pull-forwards of revenue into the quarter. We believe this is
important for quarterly results, given the magnitude of pull-forwards in recent
quarters for some firms. We estimate that EVR/LAZ pulled forward $50mn/$8mn of
revenue from 2Q26 into 1Q26, and EVR/MC pulled forward $29mn/$27mn of
revenue from 3Q26 into 2Q26. We define the net pull-forward as the delta between
what was pulled forward into 1Q26 (which we define as Dealogic completed fees in
the first 7 days of 2Q26), and what was pulled forward into 2Q26 (from the first 7
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