REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Gjensidige (GJFG.OL): Key takeaways from 2Q’26 conference call and sell-side meeting
Research evidence excerpt
Gjensidige (GJFG.OL): Key takeaways from 2Q’26 conference call and sell-side meeting
Goldman Sachs Gjensidige (GJFG.OL)
Management remain highly confident in robust future growth. This is supported by
newly signed partnerships with Tesla, Privatmegleren and Huseierne, alongside efforts to
strengthen distribution capacity and efficiency in the Danish private market.
Separately, at the sell-side call management noted that the reason for the different
growth in Private and Commercial is underpinned by the fact that the drivers for
inflation are different. The Commercial book has a large exposure to A&H which have
different inflationary drivers as opposed to Motor and Property. That said, the
non-renewal of the agreement with Fire mutuals also had a larger impact on Commercial
vs Private.
Margins
Gjensidige continues to prioritise profitability over volume. Underwriting pricing is
matching claims inflation in most lines, and exceeding it in select lines to boost
profitability. Claims inflation is projected at 4% to 7% for motor and 4% to 6% for
property in Norway. Inflationary pressures are notably lower in Denmark and Sweden.
Further, in response to a recent Supreme Court ruling and subsequent reserving
developments, Gjensidige will be increasing prices on Danish workers’ compensation
policies.
Speaking to the underlying frequency loss ratio (UFLR), management noted that the
improvement is predominantly driven by pricing actions, with some contribution from
quarterly stochastic volatility. They also note that the first half of 2026 enjoyed an
exceptionally favourable claims environment. As such, while the margin outlook remains
solid, it is worth bearing in mind that the current UFLR might be a favourable starting
point for the future.
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