REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
EM WEEKLY KICKSTART: MSCI EM fell 2% amid Middle East re-escalation and Momentum Unwind for the 3rd consecutive week; Korea fell 8% while China rose 3%; 2Q profits expected to rise ~70% yoy led by Tech
Research evidence excerpt
EM WEEKLY KICKSTART: MSCI EM fell 2% amid Middle East re-escalation and Momentum Unwind for the 3rd consecutive week; Korea fell 8% while China rose 3%; 2Q profits expected to rise ~70% yoy led by Tech
Portfolio Strategy Research
10 July 2026 | 6:13PM BST
EM WEEKLY KICKSTART
MSCI EM fell 2% amid Middle East re-escalation and Momentum Unwind for the 3rd consecutive
week; Korea fell 8% while China rose 3%; 2Q profits expected to rise ~70% yoy led by Tech
n Performance: MSCI EM fell -2% w/w, led by growth, while Discretionary and Utilities are expected Sunil Koul
+44(20)7051-4931 | sunil.koul@gs.com
AI/Tech-heavy North Asia (Korea: -8%, Taiwan: -3%), to be the largest drags. Goldman Sachs International
while China (+3%) and Brazil (+2%), gained. Tarun Lalwani, CFA n Momentum Unwind. EM Momentum factor +1(212)934-5821 |
tarun.lalwani@gs.com
n Earnings/valuations: MXEF is trading at 10.7x fwd. P/E (M1EFMMT) has continued to drawdown for the 3rd Goldman Sachs India SPL
(-1.4 s.d, 10yr avg). EM 2026E EPS revised +0.4% w/w. consecutive week alongside US momentum, and is Mambuna Njie
+44(20)7051-7705 |
down ~15% since Jun 22nd. The sell-off has seen mambuna.njie@gs.comn Flows: EM equities saw foreign outflows of US$6.6bn Goldman Sachs International
semis/AI pockets come under pressure — momentum w/w led by tech-heavy Taiwan (US$5.9bn) and Korea
drawdown has been steep in North Asia (Korea (US$2.3bn).
momentum: -22%; Taiwan: -8%). Similarly, the EM AI
n Macro: Central banks were on hold in Peru, Egypt,
Infrastructure (-7%) and most popular Mutual Fund
Poland, and Malaysia. Based on dovish central bank
longs (-10%) sold off over the past three weeks.
comments in S. Africa, our economists shifted forward
Sectorally, Tech and Industrials that have been the
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