REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Direcional (DIRR3.SA): 2026 Operational Preview: Softer than Expected Sales Lead to Slight SoS Decline
Research evidence excerpt
Direcional (DIRR3.SA): 2026 Operational Preview: Softer than Expected Sales Lead to Slight SoS Decline
Equity Research
9 July 2026 | 8:27AM BRT
Direcional (DIRR3.SA): 2Q26 Operational Preview: Softer than Expected
Sales Lead to Slight SoS Decline
Our Take: We expect a neutral to negative stock reaction for Direcional shares Jorel Guilloty
+55(11)3372-3522 |
following the 2Q26 operational preview (link) as a net sales miss (-6% at 100%, -13% jorel.guilloty@gs.com
Goldman Sachs do Brasil CTVM S.A.
at Direcional stake) helped drive a q/q and y/y decline in sales over supply (SoS), a
Igor Machado
similar trend to the low income homebuilders who have reported thus far (Tenda and +55(11)3372-0227 |
Cury). Two dynamics could explain the softer sales figures. First, while cancellations igor.machado@gs.comGoldman Sachs do Brasil CTVM S.A.
due to regional subsidy program constraints, particularly in Manaus in northern
Brazil, have eased, they still had an impact. Thus, despite a record R$2bn in gross
sales, net sales were R$1.7bn, implying a 15% cancellation rate. Second, the
company mentioned strong sales momentum that was impacted by the World Cup in
the last two weeks of the quarter. Similar to peers, there was a meaningful increase in
average price per unit for launches q/q, +16% overall and +15% for the core
Direcional product, a trend which could have impacted sales. The SoS figures thus
declined q/q and y/y, with 100% figures seeing a 76 and 351 bps decline
respectively. Finally, the company saw R$130 mm in cash generation (R$80 mm
operational) vs our R$125 mm expectation. The debate around Direcional has
focused on increasing sales over supply and increasing cash generation, which could
ultimately lead to dividend increases. Thus, a key question is whether this result
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