REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
GEA Group (G1AG.DE) Pre-2Q26 Barometer update
Research evidence excerpt
GEA Group (G1AG.DE) Pre-2Q26 Barometer update
Goldman Sachs GEA Group (G1AG.DE)
Exhibit 10: We expect GEA’s cash return to shareholders to Exhibit 11: ...and we forecast a FCF yield in line with sector
be above sector median, and model a buyback in line with peers
the past five year median as a % of FCF generated... FCF yield, 2026E
Dividend and buyback yield, 2026E
8% 16.0%
14.0%
6%
12.0%
10.0%
4%
Median: 2.3% 8.0%
2% 6.0%
Median: 3.8%
4.0%
0%
Abloy GVSSEBTruck 0.0% IMIGroup SignifySchindlerVolvoGroup FLSmidthPlc A/S AddtechNIBEPrysmianLifcoCarelHalmaA/SNKTAlstomElectrolux 2.0% IndutradeABBLavalAlfaEpirocCopco Assa VAT Weir Laval GEA TrelleborgWartsilaKONERationalRexelAristonSiemensGeberitKonecranesSKFNexansTratonMetsoSandvikSchneiderAccelleronIndustrial Atlas IMI Knorr-BremseLegrandGroup Daimler SandvikGroup CNH NKT KONEIndustrialVolvoAbloy SiemensLegrandMetsoIndutradeWartsilaSchneiderRationalAddtechHalmaEpirocLifcoPrysmianSchindlerGeberitCopco TrelleborgNIBEGroup AlfaFLSmidthABBAccelleronCarelAlstomTratonSKFGroupVAT Assa Weir GEA SignifySEBAristonGVSRexelKonecranesTruckNexansPlc Atlas Daimler CNH Knorr-Bremse
Dividend yield 2026E Special dividend yield 2026E
Buyback yield 2026E Median FCF Yield 2026E Median
Source: Factset, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Company data Source: Factset, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation and key risks
We are Neutral-rated on GEA with a 12-month price target of €60 (from €56) (3pp
driven by estimates changes and 4pp driven by an implied multiple increase on
EV/EBIT (from c.12x previously) to be in line with the 10-year median, reflecting a
slightly improved growth profile). This remains based on our 12-month rolling
sector-relative EV/IC to ROIC/WACC methodology using 9m 2027/ 3m 2028 estimates.
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