REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Fixed Income Chart Of The Day: That‘s not fair!
Research evidence excerpt
Fixed Income Chart Of The Day: That‘s not fair!
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rates Date
Fixed Income Chart Of The Day 1 July 2026
That's not fair!
Soniya Sadeesh
According to a press report, the ECB is reviewing minimum reserve requirements Strategist
and could increase the ratio from 1 to 2 percentage points in “the autumn”. +44-20-754-73091
This seems unlikely to us, and today’s FICOTD shows why. The distribution of Francis Yared
reserves across the Eurozone is uneven, and as a result the impact of raising Strategist
requirements varies significantly across countries. Currently, reserve +44-20-754-54017
requirements are around €174bn, which is about 8% of excess liquidity. As can
Markus Heider
be seen, the likes of Italy, Portugal, Spain and Greece would see a much larger Macro Strategist
relative impact, with less room to absorb any increase in requirements. By +44-20-754-52167
definition, this would also reduce excess liquidity by the same amount,
contributing to aggregate conditions as well. Ioannis Sokos
Strategist
There was little reason to argue in favour of increasing the ratio prior to the report, +44-20-754-75680
the timing of which may be related to a review of the operational framework which Gabriele Cozzi
is pencilled in for 2026. Strategist
+44-20-754-17714
Changing the minimum requirement was debated in 2023 (it had been 2% before
2011), but instead the ECB cut the remuneration rate to zero (from DFR). Small Mingyue Xin
change, but that in turn did lead to an observable impact on month ends, as a way Strategist
+44-20-754-10002 to manage exposures.
Banks that do not have existing excess liquidity buffers would need to raise the Matthew Raskin
liquidity. Funding options include repo/commercial paper issuance, using the +1-212-250-1741
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