REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Aviation (in)stalls, but C the light
Research evidence excerpt
Aviation (in)stalls, but C the light
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy SES 1 July 2026
Forecast Change
Europe
Luxembourg
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 29 Jun 2026 (EUR) 6.87
SESFd.PA SESG FP PAR SESFd
Price Target (EUR) 9.50
Telecommunications
52-week range (EUR) 9.89 - 4.85
Wireless Services
Valuation & Risks
Roshan Ranjit, CFA
C-band newsflow could be imminent, Q2 operational trough Research Analyst
We believe C-band news is imminent, with potential to hear later today if the topic +44-20-754-52908
is on 22 July FCC meeting agenda. Our valuation for SES' share of 100MHz is c.EUR
Robert Grindle, Ph.D.
1.5bn (post tax), in the event 160MHz is auctioned we est. SES could receive c.EUR Research Analyst
3bn in accelerated relocation payments (ARPs) equivalent to 100% market cap. +44-20-754-58490
Operationally, we believe Q2 will be a tough quarter given lumpy Aviation installs
Keval Khiroya, CFA
and ongoing Govn delays. The market will look for reassurance of a Q3 pick up.
Research Analyst
+44-20-754-18164
Eyes on FCC meeting agenda
Vijay Saravanan
Whilst the next FCC Open meeting is scheduled for the 22 July, agendas are
Research Associate
typically published three weeks in advance, which would be today. Given the
spectrum auction deadline of July 2027, if not on the published agenda for the next
meeting, we believe C-band will be a discussion point for mid August. Whilst we Ankit Sharma
may not get exact details of any potential ARPs due to SES, the FCC could detail the
allocation to the satellite industry which will help frame any proceeds due to SES.
Key changes
Q2 a trough quarter, need confidence in Q3 pick up DB EPS (EUR) 0.52 to 0.54 ↑ 4.1%
Q1 was impacted by a contract restructuring which masked core trends, but we est.
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