REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
European Morning Credit: Today in European Credit
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European Morning Credit: Today in European Credit
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European Morning Credit
Today in European Credit
Strategy 01 July 2026
Credit Derivatives Navigator: While IG implieds screen low in both the US and Credit
Europe, CDX HY stands out as offering a larger vol risk premium. Private credit Europe
headwinds could result in higher interest in the newly launched CDX Financials index, European Credit Rsch Grp
from the short side. Elevated daily trading ranges justify to own vol selectively in CDX IG BofASE (France)
space. See: Carry now, convexity next. (IA) See Team Page for List of Analysts
Financials
UK Banks: The FT is reporting this morning on the debate in the UK re: levies on the
banking sector. According to the report, the General Secretary of the Trades Union Exhibit 1: Just published
Congress sees the potential to raise £9bn over four years simply ‘by reversing the Recent publications from European Credit
previous Conservative government’s cut to the so-called bank surcharge’. A more radical Research
move to impose 35% surcharge could raise £60bn over four years. This would match the
Credit Derivatives Navigator
previous windfall tax on energy companies. The UK bank levy is so frequently discussed Carry now, convexity next
that, in our view, it must be baked into the market’s assessment of the UK banks by now. Ioannis Angelakis
We would therefore expect a very muted reaction to any announcement of a levy,
especially at the lower end of the above range. (RT) Nykredit
Revisiting value after active 1H in primary
Nykredit (NYKRE): Active 1H26 in primary (€2.8bn benchmark-size). We stay Katharine Lennon
constructive, but some spread premium vs Danish peers is fair. OWs longer-end SNP
(€3.75 '33s, €3.5 '33s), Mostly MW/UW elsewhere. Like T2 35s (OW).
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