REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Q2 looks positive to in-line, upside risk for the full-year
Research evidence excerpt
Q2 looks positive to in-line, upside risk for the full-year
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Nordex 30 June 2026
Forecast Change
Europe
Germany
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 29 Jun 2026 (EUR) 44.54
NDXG.DE NDX1 GR GER NDXG
Price Target (EUR) 61.00
Capital Goods
52-week range (EUR) 50.00 - 16.80
Engineering
Q2 looks positive to in-line, upside risk
Valuation & Risks for the full-year
John Kim
Nordex reports Q2 results on July 29th. We expect a 5% beat on the Q2 Project
Research Analyst
order intake, a +2% beat on Q2 group revenues and a +5% beat on adj EBITDA vs +44-20-754-18699
consensus. Positives in the quarter include the 1st sizable set of US orders in a
while and good weather and supply chain--positive for installations and margins. Gael de-Bray, CFA
Service remains a bright spot as Nordex has largely avoided the issues faced by
+33-1-4495-6562
other OEMs with no offshore exposure in the business model. Should Q2 deliver,
it puts Nordex in position to raise full-year guidance which we wouldn’t expect
Key changes
until Q3 (like last year) as H2 remains critical for execution and project delivery
TP 59.00 to 61.00 ↑ 3.4%
due to seasonality. DB full-year estimates are slightly ahead of consensus at this
DB EPS (EUR) 2.00 to 2.21 ↑ 10.4%
point. We maintain our BUY rating and adjust our target price to €61.
Revenue (EURm) 8,803 to 9,024 ↑ 2.5%
Source: Deutsche Bank
Thoughts on the order intake so far
In Project, we forecast 2.6GW in Q2 order intake or €2.3bn in order value (ASP Price/price relative
0.89m/MW) putting us +5% ahead of consensus at this point. Announced orders for 75
Q2 total to c1.6GW with Q2 unannounced orders averaging to c840MW since 2020. 50
Holding this pattern constant, we effectively have cover vs consensus expectations
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