REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The little engine that could – initiate with Buy
Research evidence excerpt
The little engine that could – initiate with Buy
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INNIO
The little engine that could – initiate with
Buy
Initiating Coverage: BUY | PO: 46.00 USD | Price: 38.24 USD
Pulling the AI train & capitalizing on data center demand 29 June 2026
We initiate on INNIO (INIO), a maker of reciprocating gas engines, with a Buy rating and Equity
$46 price objective. Our positive view is driven by INNIO’s fast-growing data center
business, capacity additions, and well-honed services business model. The company’s AndrewResearch ObinAnalyst
Jenbacher engines have already won contracts to power multiple gigawatts (GW) of data BofAS
centers. Further, INNIO plans to double its engine capacity from 3.5 GW in 2025 to 7.0 +1andrew.obin@bofa.com646 855 1817
GW by 2028. We forecast revenue to grow at a 31% CAGR through 2028E. David Ridley-Lane, CFA
Research Analyst
Powering data centers and balancing the grid BofAS+1 646 855 2907
Data centers comprise 21% of trailing 12 months equipment revenue, but 61% of david.ridleylane@bofa.com
trailing 12 months equipment orders. Developers are turning to on-site power Devin Leonard
generation in response to long grid connection wait times. We have identified over 60 BofAS
GW of data center projects with on-site power generation in pre-construction activities. +1 646 855 3698
devin.leonard@bofa.com
As the world adopts more solar and wind power generation, the need for load balancing
dispatchable power is also growing. For example, the US on-grid fleet of natural gas
engines has grown at a 7% CAGR over 2010-25.
Stock Data
Risks: capacity ramp, industry-wide capacity, BESS Price 38.24 USD
Doubling equipment capacity in three years comes with risks of construction delays and Price Objective 46.00 USD
ramping labor.
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