REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Part 2 Maintenance Update Further Contextualizes Obefazimod Risk/Benefit Profile; Maintain OW
Research evidence excerpt
Part 2 Maintenance Update Further Contextualizes Obefazimod Risk/Benefit Profile; Maintain OW
Idea
June 30, 2026 03:15 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLCMAbivax | North America Judah C. Frommer, CFA
Equity Analyst
Part 2 Maintenance Update Judah.Frommer@morganstanley.comNicholas D Japhet +1 212 761-1270
Research Associate
Nick.Japhet@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-2721
Further Contextualizes Parth Patel
Parth.Patel@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-5065
Obefazimod Risk/Benefit
Abivax (ABVX.O, ABVX US)
Biotechnology | United States of AmericaProfile; Maintain OW
Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View Attractive
Price target $132.00
Shr price, close (Jun 29, 2026) $96.15
Mkt cap, curr (mm) $7,551
Key Takeaways 52-Week Range $148.83-6.89
Fiscal Year Ending 12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
ABVX reported data from Part 2 of the Ph3 ABTECT maintenance study following
EPS ($)** (4.83) (3.58) (2.67) (0.38)
the Part 1 update that raised concern around a potential malignancy signal. Prior EPS ($)** - - - -
P/E NM NM NM NM
Exposure-adjusted incidence rate analysis and case detail point to lack of a clear EPS ($)§ (4.52) (3.53) (3.71) (1.85)
Div yld (%) - - - -
malignancy signal for obefazimod.
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
Endoscopic remission data in more severe patient population reinforces potential framework
** = Based on consensus methodology
best-in-disease profile. § = Consensus data is provided by Refinitiv Estimates
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Company intends to include both the 25mg and 50mg doses in its filing strategy. Quarterly EPS ($)
2026e 2026e 2027e 2027e
Quarter 2025 Prior Current Prior Current
Abivax provided its highly anticipated communication of ABTECT Maintenance Q1 - - - - -
Part 2 study results after the close.
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