REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Re-Rating Can Continue as Relative Value Remains in Focus; PT to $119
Research evidence excerpt
Re-Rating Can Continue as Relative Value Remains in Focus; PT to $119
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Marriott Vacations 30 June 2026
North America Reuters Bloomberg Rating Buy
United States VAC.N VAC US Price target (USD) 119.00 Price at 29 Jun 26 103.04
52-week range 103.04 – 45.49
Consumer
Leisure Valuation & Risks
Re-Rating Can Continue as Relative Value
Remains in Focus; PT to $119 ChrisResearchWoronkaAnalyst
+1-212-250-9376
Rising Confidence in Ability to See Accelerating FCF Generation
Tiana Malhotra As we raise our forecasts for FY26 and FY27 (details in the following section), we Research Associate
believe upward momentum in the stock can continue as VAC's multiple re-rates +1-212-250-9534
closer to its long term average (perhaps even peak, with the help of a continued
broader bull market) prior to the market's diminished confidence in strategic
execution dating back to early 2023. We think a majority of VAC's EBITDA growth
is likely to be the result of company-specific initiatives that CEO Matt Avril Key changes
implemented upon becoming Interim CEO in November and permanent CEO in Price target (USD) 92 119 29%
February. Source: Deutsche Bank
Mr. Avril made significant changes at the company upon his arrival, and we
believe those changes will become very evident in results beginning in 2H this
year (we expect 2Q to be solid, at least in line with guidance). Mr. Avril hired Mike
Flaskey as COO earlier this year and there have been subsequent new hirings at
the same time that overall headcount at the corporate office has declined. Mr.
Avril indicated while he was Interim CEO that he would rehire certain top
performers at key sales centers, and we believe that process is largely complete.
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