REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
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Research evidence excerpt
Back to business
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy UBS 29 June 2026
Europe Reuters Bloomberg Rating Buy
Switzerland UBSG.S UBSG SW Price target (CHF) 45.00 Price at 26 Jun 26 39.97
52-week range 41.35 – 25.77
Banks
Banks Valuation & Risks
Benjamin Goy
Well positioned business model, rising capital return Research Analyst
+49-69-910-31946 While UBS always remained focused on the business ever since the Credit Suisse
acquisition and reported strong commercial momentum in most quarters over the Rishika Garg
last three years, many investors were focused on the negative regulatory impact Research Associate
from the new Swiss too big to fail regulation. However, also investor sentiment is
now shifting back to the business as UBS increases capital return and the capital
markets remain very supportive for the bank. We modestly upgrade our forecasts
ahead of 2Q26 results and lift our target multiples to reflect peer rerating. Trading Key changes
at 11.2x 2027E EPS and 9.6x 2028E EPS, we reiterate our buy recommendation. Price target (CHF) 40 45 13%
Source: Deutsche Bank
Tailwinds to continue
UBS is the bank most geared to capital markets in our European coverage
universe. The risk-on sentiment should boost its Global Wealth Management, and
to a smaller extent Asset Management, too, throughout recurring and
transactional fees. Furthermore, we expect net interest income to outperform
2Q26 guidance and an upgrade the FY26 net interest income guidance. For the
Investment Bank, we expect another strong quarter, led by the most important
equities franchise. Though a decent performance in FX, Rates & Currencies as
well as Corporate Finance too.
Increasing capital return while building capital
UBS will likely conclude its accelerated USD 3bn share buyback in July. Then we
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