REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
2Q set to see World Cup to further boost strong cFX sales
Research evidence excerpt
2Q set to see World Cup to further boost strong cFX sales
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Adidas AG 29 June 2026
Forecast Change
Europe
Germany
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 26 Jun 2026 (EUR) 181.70
ADSGn.DE ADS GR GER ADSGn
Price Target (EUR) 210.00
Consumer Discretionary &
Luxury ADR ISIN 52-week range (EUR) 212.30130.85-
ADDYY US00687A1079
Sporting Goods
2Q set to see World Cup to further
Valuation & Risks boost strong cFX sales
Adam Cochrane
DB View Research Analyst
adidas is set to deliver a good 2Q aided by improving brand heat and the World Cup +44-20-754-17812
benefit. Our investment thesis is that 1H 26 would see the peak of adidas cFX sales
Shwetha Ramachandran
growth and as growth slows in 2H 26 it will be replaced by stronger gross margin Research Associate
drivers and ongoing opex management. We increase our FY EBIT forecast by c.4%
to €2,550m and FY27e by 3% to €3,008m. This sees our FY26e EPS up to €9.8,
Benjamin Yokyong-Zoega
approaching the €10 per share we had before the US tariffs, and FY27e at €12.2. Our
Research Analyst
DCF derived valuation increases to €210 (from €200) which implies 21x 2026 PE
+44-20-754-12338
and we retain our Buy recommendation. Across our coverage, adidas remains one
of the most compelling investment cases and despite a tough overall sporting Do-Hyun Yoo
goods backdrop, we believe the sales outperformance can be maintained. Research Associate
+44-20-754-19487
2Q preview Key changes
We believe that the cFX sales growth in 2Q will be even stronger than we expected
200.00 to
and we increase our 2Q cFX sales growth to 16% (from 14% previously) with 11% TP 210.00 ↑ 5.0%
underlying and 7% benefit from the World Cup, partially offset by a 1% drag from DB EPS (EUR) 9.44 to 9.83 ↑ 4.2%
the Middle East.
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