REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Reinstating Buy on FMTY following F. Macquarie transaction
Research evidence excerpt
Reinstating Buy on FMTY following F. Macquarie transaction
Equity Research
28 June 2026 | 8:54PM BRT
MEXICO INDUSTRIAL
Our Take: We reinstate our rating at Buy on Mexican industrial Fibra MTY with a Jorel Guilloty
+55(11)3372-3522 |
P$16 PT (+16% return) following the successful tender offer for ~80% of Fibra jorel.guilloty@gs.com
Goldman Sachs do Brasil CTVM S.A.
Macquarie shares completed in late May; we remain Not Rated on F. Macquarie. The
Igor Machadodeal results in FMTY now controlling the third-largest industrial portfolio in our +55(11)3372-0227 |
coverage at +5 mm sqm of industrial real estate space, with ~70% of the portfolio igor.machado@gs.comGoldman Sachs do Brasil CTVM S.A.
focused on manufacturing and 70% in the northern region of Mexico. Our model
does not assume any synergies from the acquisition and assumes FMTY will continue
paying management fees to Macquarie Asset Management (MAM). We see FFO per
share growth of 7% in 2028 (first full comparable year), above forecast Mexico/US
inflation of 3% and 2% respectively, driven by 5% top-line growth and margin
expansion. Given ongoing USMCA uncertainty, we think that the new FMTY provides
stable, growing cash flows given a 3.5% vacancy rate and mark to market of leases
which should drive real rent growth, that when combined with a 7% dividend yield
can potentially deliver +20% total return.
USMCA uncertainty likely to continue. While USMCA review is set to take place on
July 1, the current general expectation is that there will be no near-term resolution;
please see Update on USMCA section inside for more detail. We note that current
bilateral meetings set up between the US and Mexico go beyond the July 1 USMCA
review deadline. This can prolong uncertainty around outcomes, including rules of
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