REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Global Travels, AI Deep Dives & Brain Shuttles
Research evidence excerpt
Global Travels, AI Deep Dives & Brain Shuttles
IdeaMValuation Methodology and Risks
Charles River Laboratories International (CRL.N)
Our PT of $220 implies ~14x EV/'26 EBITDA and represents a 2x premium to our CRO peer
group, which we believe to be justified by recent acquisitions and divestitures which won't
have a full year's benefit until 2027, and projected double digit EPS growth through 2028.
Risks to Upside
n Faster than anticipated biotech demand recovery
n Cost cutting initiatives materialize faster than expected
n Pricing pressures subside faster than anticipated, proving upside to margins
Risks to Downside
n Slowing in the biotech recovery, weighing on pre-clinical demand and CDMO/manuf.
n Seq. weakening of large pharma demand, causing uptick in cancellations and softening
B2B
n Pricing pressures worsen weighing on margins
Iqvia Holdings Inc (IQV.N)
Our primary valuation methodology for IQV is an EV/EBITDA multiples-based approach and
our PT is based on a ~12x EV/EBITDA target multiple on our Base Case 2026 EBITDA, approxi-
mately in line with CRO peers.
n Tech & RWE offerings translate into accelerated rev. growth & margin expansion
n Potential upside from share gains in the R&DS segment
n Peer consolidation leads to industry disruptions & share gain for IQV
n AI disrupts traditional CRO business models
n Muted pharma activity/slowing of biotech recovery weighs on demand
n R&DS margin headwinds due to pricing pressure pass-throughs, & FSP mix shift
Resmed Inc (RMD.N)
Discounted cash flow valuation, applying probability-weightings of 60% to our base case, 5%
to our bull case and 35% to our bear-case scenarios. Our base case captures FY26 financial
guidance and an estimate for Philips' re-entry into the US. We see greater probabilities
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