REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The 720: Luckin Coffee & Chagee initiations, China Strategy, Fujikura, Global Smartphones, Ajinomoto, Jardine Matheson, KB Financial, Ebara
Research evidence excerpt
The 720: Luckin Coffee & Chagee initiations, China Strategy, Fujikura, Global Smartphones, Ajinomoto, Jardine Matheson, KB Financial, Ebara
Equity Research
22 June 2026 | 7:21AM HKT
The 720: Luckin Coffee & Chagee initiations, China Strategy, Fujikura,
Global Smartphones, Ajinomoto, Jardine Matheson, KB Financial, Ebara
In Focus | Luckin Coffee & Chagee initiations Michael Snaith
+852-2978-0455 |
michael.snaith@gs.com
Luckin Coffee – Clear growth path in ML China – Initiate at Buy. We initiate coverage Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
with a 12m TP of US$49, forecasting 19% and 26% revenue and non-GAAP net profit Caleb Chan
+852-2978-0790 | caleb.chan@gs.com
CAGRs for 2025 to 2028. We believe there remains a meaningful opportunity to Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
expand in mainland China, where our analysis suggests a 55,000 store count is
attainable, supported by the company’s strong moat in scale and digital capabilities.
We also see further room for margin expansion, expecting non-GAAP operating
margins to reach 14% by 2028 driven by normalized delivery subsidies, lower
per-order delivery costs, and store operating efficiencies. Additionally, with
accumulated deficits turning into accumulated gains in 2026 alongside healthy free
cash flow generation, we see a strong upside opportunity in future shareholder
returns. Xinyu Ruan
Chagee Holdings – Searching for the next growth engine – Initiate at Neutral. We
initiate coverage with a 12m TP of US$13.6, as we see limited room for further store
expansion in China and lingering same-store sales growth pressure. While an easier
base and cost controls should limit near-term earnings downside, the company’s
premium positioning and narrow tea-latte focus leave it less well-placed to capture
shifting consumer preferences.
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