REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Improving Unit Economics Pose Upside Risk; TP up to €89
Research evidence excerpt
Improving Unit Economics Pose Upside Risk; TP up to €89
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Sixt SE 17 June 2026
Europe Reuters Bloomberg Rating Buy
Germany SIXG.DE SIX2 GR Price target (EUR) 89.00 Price at 15 Jun 26 74.90
52-week range 97.65 – 60.10
Leisure & Hotels
Travel Services Valuation & Risks
Improving Unit Economics Pose Upside Risk;
TP up to €89 MichaelResearchKuhnAnalyst
+49-69-910-46002
Vehicle holding costs trending better than expected
Lars Vom-Cleff Sixt delivered a solid Q1 with revenue of €929m (+12.6% cFX) and EBT of €2.1m. Research Analyst
Costs deviated from our model - insurance costs were higher, but vehicle holding +49-69-910-13526
costs (DPU) came in materially lower at €290/month, down from €324 in FY25
and €385 at the 2024 peak. We expect DPU to remain around €290 through Q2-
Q4 before modest increases thereafter. This improving trajectory is the primary
driver behind our 4% FY26 EBT upgrade, which puts us 4% above consensus. We Key changes
raise our target price to €89 (from €85) and reiterate Buy. Price target (EUR) 85 89 5%
Source: Deutsche Bank
Summer travel setup cautiously favorable, but uncertainties persist
We see Sixt as a modest net beneficiary of the summer 2026 travel situation.
European intra-regional demand remains robust, and a potential Iran peace deal
could ease the jet fuel/flight cancellation risk that management flagged as the
single largest European concern. At the same time, significant uncertainties
persist - booking visibility is "even shorter than in the last years," Middle East and
Asian long-haul markets remain weak, and US consumer sentiment has not
improved. Management guided Q2 EBT as "mainly stable" versus last year's
~€110m, which we view as conservative given the improving cost trajectory.
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